Sales Forecasts
3-Month Product Forecast
How we calculate the 90-day forecast: We look at each product's sales history and calculate how many we expect to sell in the next 90 days. The forecast considers: (1) recent sales trends (last 90 days), (2) seasonal patterns from previous years, and (3) whether sales are growing or slowing. We show three scenarios: Low (conservative estimate), Mid (most likely), and High (optimistic estimate).
Product Mix (14-Month Average)
3-Month Accessory Forecast
Calculating accessory forecast...
How we calculate the 90-day forecast: We look at each accessory's sales history and calculate how many we expect to sell in the next 90 days. The forecast considers: (1) recent sales trends (last 90 days), (2) seasonal patterns from previous years, and (3) whether sales are growing or slowing. We show three scenarios: Low (conservative estimate), Mid (most likely), and High (optimistic estimate).
Accessory Mix (14-Month Average)
Year-over-Year Growth
Calculating growth trends...
Method: Average weekly sales for each 52-week period compared to the previous period.
Shows whether the business is growing or shrinking year-over-year.
% Growth by Month (from Sep 15, 2024 to Latest)
Calculating monthly growth...
Method: Shows CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) from Sep 15, 2024 baseline to each month through latest data (updates weekly).
Each bar represents the monthly growth rate needed to reach that month's sales from the baseline.
Uses IQR outlier detection for weekly sales within each month.
Seasonal Pattern (Products Only)
Calculating seasonal patterns...
Method: For each year, outlier weeks (sales jump >2x or drop >50%) are replaced with the yearly average.
Each week's % deviation from that year's average is calculated, then averaged across all years.
Shows which weeks are typically above/below average. Excludes accessories.
Product Mix by Month
Calculating product mix...
Method: Shows the average percentage of each product type sold per month across all years.
Outlier months are removed before averaging.